Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. All Rights Reserved. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. The pollster found. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. Please check you have typed it correctly. conducted. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Another. US ; About ; For business ; . The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. We don't have an account for this email address. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. It's Andrew's Previews for. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. @BritainElects. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Something went wrong, please try again later. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Energy & utilities. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. All Rights Reserved. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". But we can't do it without you. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Early 2021. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? All Rights Reserved. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? /Which party are you most inclined to support? Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. Pollster. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r

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